The Economist asks:

Before 1 October 2021, will the Republic of Chad announce that legislative elections currently scheduled for 24 October 2021 will be postponed or canceled?

Started Jan 29, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 26, 2021 06:00PM UTC

Elections for Chad's legislature, the National Assembly, were last held in 2011, with 2015 elections postponed five times (Economist, Barron's, Le Monde [in French]).

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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 26 April 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 96.00%
No 4.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 69
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 170
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.04
2.
-0.039
3.
-0.039
4.
-0.038
5.
-0.038

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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