Started Feb 16, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jun 30, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Maarten and Adam Grant ask:

Which will happen next regarding the price of a bitcoin?

The outcome will be determined using price data as reported by Coindesk (Coindesk).

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Name Probability
Bitcoin will have a price of $25,000 or less 5%
Bitcoin will have a price of $100,000 or more 11%
Neither will occur before 1 July 2021 84%

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