Started Feb 24, 2021 09:30PM UTC   •   Closing Jul 04, 2021 07:01AM UTC

Adam Grant asks:

For how many weeks will Adam Grant's "Think Again" be on the New York Times Best Sellers list for Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction between 21 February 2021 and 11 July 2021?

Author Adam Grant's latest book, "Think Again: The Power of Knowing What You Don't Know," was released on 2 February 2021 ( The outcome will be determined using the New York Times' Combined Print & E-Book Nonfiction Best Sellers list (NY Times).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

NOTE 26 February 2021: Any appearance of Think Again on lists dated between 21 February 2021 and 11 July 2021 would count.

Name Probability
Fewer than 4 0%
Between 4 and 8 0%
Between 9 and 13 61%
Between 14 and 18 33%
More than 18 6%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username