The Economist and Adam Grant ask:
Will the percentage of Global Business Travel Association survey respondents planning to resume international business travel in the near future (next 1-3 months) reach 20% or higher before September 2021?
Closed Jun 17, 2021 02:00PM UTC
The Global Business Travel Association (GBTA) has been conducting rolling surveys of companies around the world on the state of business travel during the COVID-19 pandemic (Economist, GTBA). The outcome will be determined using GBTA's COVID-19 Member Poll Results and would close upon the first survey released in August 2021, if not sooner (GBTA). Among companies that have canceled or suspended most or all international trips, 7% planned to resume international business travel in the near future according to the February 2021 survey (GBTA - Poll Results 18 February 2021, see questions 20 and 21, GTBA - Key Highlights 18 February 2021, see infographics on pages 4, 7, and 8).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 17 June 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 80.00% | |
No | 20.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 446 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 764 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |