Which film will win the 2021 Oscar® for Best Motion Picture of the Year?
Started
Mar 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Apr 25, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Closed Apr 25, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
The 93rd Academy Awards, known as the Oscars®, are scheduled for 25 April 2021 (Oscars).
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
The question closed "Nomadland" with a closing date of 25 April 2021.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| The Father | 0% | |
| Judas and the Black Messiah | 0% | |
| Mank | 0% | |
| Minari | 1% | |
| Nomadland | 99% | |
| Promising Young Woman | 0% | |
| Sound of Metal | 0% | |
| The Trial of the Chicago 7 | 0% | |
| A tie or other outcome | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 108 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 222 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 584 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
