Started Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

What will be the FAO Food Price Index for December 2021?

The UN Food and Agriculture Organization's (FAO) Food Price Index, which historically has been predictive of popular unrest, has been climbing in recent months (FAO, Axios, Slate). This question will be resolved using data reported by the FAO in January 2022, typically released in the first week of the month (FAO).

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NOTE 25 March 2021: The question will close using the nominal figures as reported by FAO.


The question closed "More than 130.0" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 100.0 0%
Between 100.0 and 110.0, inclusive 0%
More than 110.0 but less than 120.0 0%
Between 120.0 and 130.0, inclusive 2%
More than 130.0 98%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 102
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 592
Average for questions older than 6 months: 682
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.328
2.
-0.249
3.
-0.208
4.
-0.197
5.
-0.195

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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