At close of business on 28 July 2021, will the upper limit of the Federal Reserve's target range for the federal funds rate be lower, the same, or higher than it was at close of business on 16 June 2021?

Started Mar 19, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 28, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Challenges

The U.S. federal funds rate is the interest rate charged for overnight lending among financial institutions with accounts at the Federal Reserve and sets the base rate for borrowing costs across the financial system (Federal Reserve). The target range for the federal funds rate is set by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Its July meeting is scheduled for 27-28 July 2021.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Same" with a closing date of 28 July 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Lower 0%
Same 100%
Higher 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 94
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 209
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
3.
-0.0
4.
-0.0
5.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username