Adam Grant asks:

Will legislation raising the US federal minimum wage become law before 20 August 2021?

Started Apr 02, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC

After the US Senate voted against a $15.00 an hour federal minimum wage, proponents have shifted to new strategies (The Hill, WSJ). The current federal minimum wage is $7.25 per hour (Cornell, US Dept. of Labor). The effective date of a raise would be immaterial.

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NOTE 5 April 2021:  Changes to the tipped minimum wage alone would not count.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 20 August 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 267
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 588
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.002268
2.
-0.002268
3.
-0.002268
4.
-0.002268

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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