How many deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 1 May 2021?
Closed May 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 deaths data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 25 April 2021 through 1 May 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 24 April 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 1 May 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed no sooner than 9 May 2021.
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The question closed "Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 2 May 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Fewer than 1,500 | 0% | |
Between 1,500 and 3,000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 3,000 but fewer than 4,500 | 8% | |
Between 4,500 and 6,000, inclusive | 92% | |
More than 6,000 but fewer than 7,500 | 0% | |
Between 7,500 and 9,000 inclusive | 0% | |
More than 9,000 but fewer than 10,500 | 0% | |
Between 10,500 and 12,000 inclusive | 0% | |
More than 12,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 77 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 295 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |