Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:

Before 1 January 2022, will an executive order be signed or federal legislation become law that would limit or prohibit US federal funds from being used to purchase face recognition technology?

Started Apr 09, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Advocates are pushing for limits on the use of face recognition technology for various reasons, from privacy to claims of racial bias (Reuters, ACLU, National Law Review). The date an executive order or federal legislation would take effect is immaterial. A prohibition with specific exemptions would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 106
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 217
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.0
2.
-0.0
4.
-0.0
5.
-0.0

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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