The Economist and Adam Grant ask:
Will the EU amend its Own Resources Decision to help finance the EU's proposed COVID-19 recovery package before 1 September 2021?
Closed May 31, 2021 06:00PM UTC
As part of the COVID-19 recovery plan called the "Next Generation EU" (NGEU), an amendment of the Own Resources Decision has been proposed (Economist, European Council, European Parliament, European Commission). An amendment of the Own Resources Decision requires approval by all Member States in accordance with their constitutional requirements (Ernst & Young, European Commission, Politico.eu). The question would resolve upon the last Member State notifying the EU that it has approved the decision (European Council).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 31 May 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 84.00% | |
No | 16.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 92 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 171 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |