The Mercator Institute for China Studies (MERICS) asks:

Between 30 April 2021 and 31 December 2021, how many times will the Council of the European Union impose new restrictive measures (sanctions) on China over human rights violations and abuses in Xinjiang?

Started Apr 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

On 22 March 2021, the Council imposed restrictive measures against four Chinese officials and one Chinese entity for human rights abuses in Xinjiang, the first such sanctions since the Tiananmen Square crackdown in 1989 (BBC, Reuters, EUR-Lex, European Commission). The imposition of restrictive measures against additional Chinese entities and Chinese individuals under the existing restrictive measures regulation would count.

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NOTE 3 May 2021: By way of example, if the EU imposes new restrictive measures on five individuals at once, that would count as one instance.


The question closed "0" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
0 100%
1 0%
2 0%
3 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 111
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 404
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.032
2.
-0.03
3.
-0.03
4.
-0.03
5.
-0.029

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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