Started May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Tim Harford asks:

According to The Infinite Dial 2022, what percentage of the US population will have "listened to a podcast in the last month?"

The Infinite Dial is an annual survey of digital behavior conducted by Edison Research, typically conducted in January each year and released in March (Edison Research). According to The Infinite Dial 2021, 41% of the U.S. population age 12+ "listened to a podcast in the last month" (The Infinite Dial 2021, see page 56). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined once The Infinite Dial 2022 is released, typically in March.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

NOTE 25 May 2021: The question is concerned with the 12+ age group as reported by The Infinite Dial.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Less than 42% 0.00% -1.00%
Between 42% and 44%, inclusive 26.00% +0.00%
More than 44% but less than 48% 63.00% +0.00%
48% or more 11.00% +1.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username