Tim Harford asks:
Will US print book sales in 2021 exceed those in 2020?
Started
May 07, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
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In 2020, print book sales in the US were at their highest in a decade, rising 8.2% year over year (Publishing Perspectives, Publishers Weekly). The outcome will be determined using print book sales data as provided by The NPD Group (The NPD Group).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 99.00% | |
No | 1.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 173 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 772 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |