How many US adult and pediatric hospital admissions with confirmed COVID-19 cases will there be for the week ending 3 July 2021?
Closed Jul 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using hospital admissions data as recorded in the Department of Health and Human Services' "COVID-19 Reported Patient Impact and Hospital Capacity by State Timeseries" for the week ending 3 July 2021 (HealthData.gov). The total will be calculated by adding data from two columns, "previous_day_admission_adult_covid_confirmed" and "previous_day_admission_pediatric_covid_confirmed," inclusive of the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, and US Virgin Islands. As these are "previous day" data, we will use the data dated 28 June 2021 through 4 July 2021, inclusive. The data will be accessed on 12 July 2021.
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The question closed "More than 10,000 but fewer than 15,000" with a closing date of 4 July 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Fewer than 5,000 | 0% | |
Between 5,000 and 10,000, inclusive | 9% | |
More than 10,000 but fewer than 15,000 | 85% | |
Between 15,000 and 20,000, inclusive | 6% | |
More than 20,000 but fewer than 25,000 | 0% | |
Between 25,000 and 30,000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 30,000 but fewer than 35,000 | 0% | |
Between 35,000 and 40,000, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 40,000 | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 21 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 57 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |