How many confirmed cases of COVID-19 in the US will be reported for the week ending 3 July 2021?
Closed Jul 03, 2021 07:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using COVID-19 confirmed cases data as recorded in the Johns Hopkins University (JHU) CSSE GitHub data repository for 27 June 2021 through 3 July 2021, inclusive (JHU CSSE GitHub). The total will be calculated by taking the sum of the 26 June 2021 column and subtracting it from the sum of the 3 July 2021 column, inclusive of all rows. The data will be accessed on 12 July 2021.
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The question closed "More than 60,000 but fewer than 100,000" with a closing date of 4 July 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 20,000 | 0% | |
| Between 20,000 and 60,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 60,000 but fewer than 100,000 | 97% | |
| Between 100,000 and 140,000, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than 140,000 but fewer than 180,000 | 0% | |
| Between 180,000 and 220,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 220,000 but fewer than 260,000 | 0% | |
| Between 260,000 and 300,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 300,000 but fewer than 340,000 | 0% | |
| Between 340,000 and 380,000, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 380,000 but fewer than 420,000 | 0% | |
| 420,000 or more | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 37 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 283 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
