Adam Grant asks:

Which country will win the 2020 Olympic gold medal in men’s synchronized 3-meter springboard diving?

Started Jun 11, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 28, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The men’s synchronized 3-meter springboard diving final is scheduled for 28 July 2021 (Olympics).

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The question closed "China" with a closing date of 28 June 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
China 81%
Germany 1%
Great Britain 10%
Russia (Russian Olympic Committee) 1%
Another country 7%
No gold medal will be awarded for this event 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 51
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 118
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.168
2.
-0.168
3.
-0.121
5.
-0.111

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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