What will be the annual rate of headline inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), in June 2022?

Started Jun 18, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

The CPI is a measure of inflation calculated by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) (Investopedia). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2022 and the outcome will be determined using the 12-month percentage change as first released by the BLS for "All items" in July 2022 (BLS). For May 2021, the rate was 5.0%.

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The question closed "5.0% or more" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 0.0% 0%
Between 0.0% and 2.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 2.0% but less than 3.0% 0%
Between 3.0% and 4.0%, inclusive 0%
More than 4.0% but less than 5.0% 0%
5.0% or more 100%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 936
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 2239
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.572
2.
-0.569
3.
-0.559
4.
-0.558
5.
-0.554

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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