Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
What will be the percentage change in the producer price index for writing and printing papers for May 2022 as compared to May 2021?
Closed Jun 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
The question will be suspended on 31 May 2022 and the outcome determined using data as first provided by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for "Writing and printing papers" (Commodity code 0913-01) in May 2022, expected in June 2022 (BLS - PPI). For May 2021, the percentage change from May 2020 was 3.2% (BLS - PPI Detailed Report May 2021, see page 49). For historical data, visit https://www.bls.gov/ppi/. Under "PPI Databases," select "ONE SCREEN" from "Commodity Data including 'Headline' FD-ID indexes." For "1 Select a Group," select "09 Pulp, paper, and allied products." For "2 Select one or more Items," find and select "091301 Writing and printing papers." For "3 Select Seasonal Adjustment," leave only "Not Seasonally Adjusted" checked, then click "Get Data."
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The question closed "More than 5.5%" with a closing date of 1 June 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Less than 1.0% | 0% | |
Between 1.0% and 2.5%, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 2.5% but less than 4.0% | 0% | |
Between 4.0% and 5.5%, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 5.5% | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 51 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 273 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |