Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC   •   Closing Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?


Various countries are working on plans to return to the moon (NASA, The Space Review). Conducting flights while living on the moon that do not leave the orbit of the moon would not reset the total consecutive days lived count. Being on an orbiting space station would not constitute a flight.

This question will be suspended on 1 October 2021. While forecasts on this question may be evaluated in the years to come, they will not be scored.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Before 2030 7.00% -0.00%
Between 2030 and 2039 33.00% -1.00%
Between 2040 and 2049 34.00% +0.00%
Not before 2050 26.00% +1.00%

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