Started Jun 27, 2021 03:00AM UTC   •   Closed Oct 01, 2021 07:01AM UTC

The Economist asks:

When will the first human have lived for 180 consecutive Earth days on or under the surface of the moon?

Tags
Challenges

Various countries are working on plans to return to the moon (NASA, The Space Review). Conducting flights while living on the moon that do not leave the orbit of the moon would not reset the total consecutive days lived count. Being on an orbiting space station would not constitute a flight.

This question will be suspended on 1 October 2021. While forecasts on this question may be evaluated in the years to come, they will not be scored.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

This question has been voided by an administrator and is no longer active.

Long-term, unscored question
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username