Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will the median price of a house in New Zealand exceed NZ$870,000 in December 2021, according to REINZ?
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Skyrocketing housing prices in New Zealand are raising concerns about an asset bubble (Guardian, Newshub). The outcome will be determined using the national monthly median house price data for December 2021 as first reported by the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ), expected in mid-January 2022 (REINZ). Revisions to the data later would be immaterial.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 95.00% | |
No | 5.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 59 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
Number of Forecasts | 298 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |