Will Ashraf Ghani either flee Afghanistan or cease to be its president before 1 January 2022?
Started
Jul 16, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 15, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 15, 2021 01:00PM UTC
Challenges
As US and NATO forces continue their withdrawal from Afghanistan, the Taliban is making gains in the country (Al Jazeera, Military Times). Whether or not Ghani has fled Afghanistan will be determined using credible open source media reporting.
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 15 August 2021.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 100.00% | |
No | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
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Number of Forecasters | 85 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 268 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |