Question 18 of 73 in In the News 2021
Started Jul 21, 2021 02:27PM UTC   •   Closing Dec 18, 2021 08:01AM UTC

Tim Harford asks:

When will the 7-day average of new COVID-19 cases in the UK next fall below 15,000?

Despite having one of the highest vaccination rates in the world, the UK began facing a new surge in COVID-19 cases in late June 2021 (NPR, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using 7-day average data as reported by the UK government under "Cases by date reported" ( If the question is still open as of 17 December 2021, data available for resolution will be evaluated on 24 December 2021.

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Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Before 11 September 2021 0.00% +0.00%
Between 11 September 2021 and 29 October 2021 0.00% +0.00%
Between 30 October 2021 and 17 December 2021 0.00% +0.00%
Not before 18 December 2021 100.00% +0.00%

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