When will the US Congress agree to a new budget resolution?

Started Jul 23, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Aug 24, 2021 11:00PM UTC

Senate Democrats announced a new proposed budget deal designed to sidestep a filibuster (CNBC, Politico, Senate Glossary, House Budget Committee). The last budget resolution was agreed to by the House and Senate on 5 February 2021 (Congress.gov - S.Con.Res.5, NPR). Legislation asserting the force and effect of a budget resolution would not count.

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The question closed "Between 9 August 2021 and 30 September 2021" with a closing date of 24 August 2021.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Before 9 August 2021 0%
Between 9 August 2021 and 30 September 2021 63%
Not before 1 October 2021 37%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 39
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 117
Average for questions older than 6 months: 585
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.407994
2.
-0.395309
3.
-0.370622
4.
-0.35055
5.
-0.320791

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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