Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?
Tensions continue to flare between Egypt and Ethiopia, particularly in relation to the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam dispute (Middle East Eye, Egypt Independent, Africa Report). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces of either side.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
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