Private Superforecasting Workshop asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces of Egypt and Ethiopia before 1 January 2022?
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Tensions continue to flare between Egypt and Ethiopia, particularly in relation to the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam dispute (Middle East Eye, Egypt Independent, Africa Report). A lethal confrontation is one that results in at least one fatality (total, not each) for the national military forces of either side.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
|Possible Answer||Correct?||Final Crowd Forecast|
Crowd Forecast Profile
|Number of Forecasters||98|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 219|
|Number of Forecasts||190|
|Average for questions older than 6 months: 613|
|Participants in this question vs. all forecasters||worse than average|