The Economist and Private Superforecasting Workshop ask:

Will Amazon.com begin to accept any cryptocurrency for purchases on the US site before 1 October 2022?

Started Jul 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC

As businesses and financial institutions explore ways to integrate cryptocurrencies (cryptos) into their operations, there are conflicting reports about whether Amazon.com is preparing to accept them for its transactions (CNBC, City A.M., Coindesk). The acceptance of stablecoins would count, but permitting crypto transactions solely for the exchange of currency, crypto, and other digital assets (e.g., NFTs) would not count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 1.52%
No 98.48%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 478
Average for questions older than 6 months: 205
Number of Forecasts 1229
Average for questions older than 6 months: 582
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.052966
2.
-0.052966
3.
-0.052966
4.
-0.052766
5.
-0.051599

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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