Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Columbus and Tim Harford ask:

Before 1 January 2022, will the Nord Stream 2 pipeline begin delivering natural gas to Germany?

The Nord Stream 2 pipeline could begin delivering natural gas from Russia to Germany later this year despite opposition from multiple groups (BBC, CNN, Bloomberg, Nord-stream2.com). Testing alone would not count. Delivery through either string of pipe would count.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Final Crowd Forecast

0%

Chance

Correct Answer

No

No. of
Forecasters

115

Forecast
Count

563

Crowd Brier Score

0.5488


Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.671
2.
-0.671
3.
-0.593
5.
-0.583

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