Tim Harford and kerryb ask:
How many units will Ford produce in North America in 2021?
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
While US motor vehicle demand has recovered from the worst of the pandemic days, ongoing shortages in microchips are hampering auto production (Detroit Free Press, Ford Authority). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Ford, expected in 2022 (Ford, see "U.S. Sales Reports"). For 2020, Ford reported production at 2,034,807 among plants in Canada, Mexico, and the US (Ford - Q4 2020 Sales Release, see page 4, "Total Production" for "Full Year").
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The question closed "More than 2.00 million but fewer than 2.25 million" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Fewer than 1.75 million | 0% | |
| Between 1.75 million and 2.00 million, inclusive | 20% | |
| More than 2.00 million but fewer than 2.25 million | 80% | |
| Between 2.25 million and 2.50 million, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 2.50 million | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 69 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 307 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
