Started Aug 06, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Tim Harford and kerryb ask:

How many units will Ford produce in North America in 2021?

While US motor vehicle demand has recovered from the worst of the pandemic days, ongoing shortages in microchips are hampering auto production (Detroit Free Press, Ford Authority). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and the outcome determined using data as first reported by Ford, expected in 2022 (Ford, see "U.S. Sales Reports"). For 2020, Ford reported production at 2,034,807 among plants in Canada, Mexico, and the US (Ford - Q4 2020 Sales Release, see page 4, "Total Production" for "Full Year").

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours
Fewer than 1.75 million 1.00% +0.00%
Between 1.75 million and 2.00 million, inclusive 55.00% +0.00%
More than 2.00 million but fewer than 2.25 million 42.00% +0.00%
Between 2.25 million and 2.50 million, inclusive 2.00% +0.00%
More than 2.50 million 0.00% +0.00%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username