024_andrew asks:
Will the Liberal Party win a majority of seats in the 2021 Canadian parliamentary elections?
Closed Sep 20, 2021 07:01AM UTC
Canadian Governor General Mary Simon dissolved the Canadian parliament at PM Justin Trudeau's request on Sunday 15 August 2021 and set election day for 20 September 2021 (Edmonton Journal, BBC).
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NOTE 14 September 2021: A majority is a number or percentage equaling more than half of a total. In order to win a majority of seats, a party needs to win 170 or more seats. Majority is not synonymous with plurality.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 20 September 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6.00% | |
| No | 94.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 71 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 207 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 585 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
