asks:

Will legal restrictions on the number of people who can meet indoors be imposed in England before 1 January 2022?

Started Aug 20, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC

The UK government lifted indoor occupancy limits and other COVID-19 restrictions on 19 July 2021, dubbed by many as "Freedom Day" (Sky News, Gov.uk). However, seasonalities and the Delta variants of SARS-CoV-2 and others continue to raise concerns that another round of restrictions may come (Bustle, GoodtoKnow). Restrictions indoors at home or in public places would not need to cover the whole of England to count, but restrictions specific to hospitals and medical care facilities would not count. The question would close upon restrictions taking effect.

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NOTE 1 September 2021: For the purposes of this question, regulated care homes are considered medical care facilities (NHS Data Model and Dictionary).

NOTE 7 September 2021: "Rule of Six"-type restrictions and household limits would count (inews.co.uk).

NOTE 21 December 2021: Legal restrictions in the form of curfews or closures of indoor public places taking effect would count.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0%
No 100.00%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 196
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 794
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.061766
3.
-0.061337
4.
-0.061238
5.
-0.061238

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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