and Tim Harford ask:
Will the 26th UN Climate Change Conference of the Parties (COP26) announce the finalization of the "Paris Rulebook," the rules for implementing the 2015 Paris Agreement, before 16 November 2021?
Closed Nov 13, 2021 07:30PM UTC
A majority of the "Paris Rulebook" was adopted at COP24 in 2018, but unresolved issues remain (Sky News, World Resources Institute, Gov.uk, Environmental Defense Fund). COP26 is scheduled for 31 October 2021 to 12 November 2021 (UKCOP26.org).
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The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 13 November 2021.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Yes | 20.00% | |
| No | 80.00% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 111 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 284 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
