How many business applications will be made in the US in 2021?
Closed Jan 01, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, a record number of business applications were made in 2020 (CBS News, Bloomberg, Economic Innovation Group). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2021 and outcome determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau (Census Bureau, Census Bureau - Business Formation Statistics Methodology).
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The question closed "More than 5.2 million but fewer than 5.6 million" with a closing date of 1 January 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Fewer than 4.8 million | 0% | |
Between 4.8 million and 5.2 million, inclusive | 1% | |
More than 5.2 million but fewer than 5.6 million | 99% | |
Between 5.6 million and 6.0 million, inclusive | 0% | |
More than 6.0 million | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 43 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 149 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |