What percentage of US retail sales will be made online in the fourth quarter of 2022?
The COVID-19 pandemic drove an increase in online shopping in the US, but whether increases will continue apace is an open question (Digital Commerce 360, Supermarket News). The outcome will be determined using seasonally adjusted "Estimated Quarterly U.S. Retail Sales: Total and E-commerce" data when first released by the US Census Bureau for the fourth quarter of 2022, expected in February 2023 (Census.gov, see "Latest Quarterly E-Commerce Report"). For the fourth quarter of 2020, the Bureau reported E-commerce as a Percent of Total as 13.6% (Census.gov - Q2 2021 Table, xls file download).
|Possible Answer||Crowd Forecast||Change in last 24 hours|
|Less than 12.5%||1.00%||+0.00%|
|Between 12.5% and 13.5%, inclusive||21.00%||+1.00%|
|More than 13.5% but less than 14.5%||52.00%||+1.00%|
|Between 14.5% and 15.5%, inclusive||21.00%||-2.00%|
|More than 15.5%||5.00%||+0.00%|