Started Sep 17, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

How many business applications will be made in the US in 2022?

Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, a record number of business applications were made in 2020 (CBS News, Bloomberg, Economic Innovation Group). The question will be suspended on 31 December 2022 and outcome determined using data as reported by the US Census Bureau (Census Bureau, parameters are set with the link, Census Bureau - Business Formation Statistics Methodology).

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NOTE 8 December 2022: The Census Bureau has changed the setup of its page with business application data. To retrieve the data, click here: Census Bureau - Revised Link to Data.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Fewer than 4.2 million 7.00% +0.00% +7.00% +1.00%
Between 4.2 million and 4.8 million, inclusive 1.00% +0.00% -1.00% -7.00%
More than 4.8 million but fewer than 5.4 million 92.00% +0.00% +1.00% +6.00%
Between 5.4 million and 6.0 million, inclusive 0.00% +0.00% -7.00% +0.00%
More than 6.0 million 0.00% +0.00% +0.00% +0.00%

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