Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

How many total international overnight guests will visit Dubai in 2022, according to the Dubai Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing?

Started Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

The outcome will be determined using data from the Dubai Department of Tourism and Commerce Marketing (Dubai Tourism). For example, 5.51 million total international overnight guests visited Dubai in 2020, while 16.73 million visited in 2019 (Dubai Tourism - 2020 Annual Report, Dubai Tourism - 2019 Annual Report).

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The question closed "More than 12.5 but fewer than 15.0 million" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Fewer than 10.0 million 5%
Between 10.0 and 12.5 million, inclusive 4%
More than 12.5 but fewer than 15.0 million 69%
Between 15.0 and 17.5 million, inclusive 16%
More than 17.5 million but fewer than 20.0 million 5%
Between 20.0 million and 22.5 million, inclusive 1%
More than 22.5 million 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 58
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 359
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.095
4.
-0.055
5.
-0.045

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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