Columbus asks:

Before 1 January 2023, will the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office officially change its name to include the word Taiwan?

Started Sep 30, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Recent media reporting indicates discussions regarding the Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the US potentially changing its name to "Taiwan Representative Office" (Taipei Economic and Cultural Representative Office in the United States, Financial Times, CGTN, Council on Foreign Relations).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 0.07%
No 99.93%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 72
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 304
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.017
2.
-0.013
5.
-0.012

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username