What will be the closing yield for the US 10 yr Treasury on 30 December 2022?
Started
Oct 01, 2021 04:00AM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
Closed Dec 30, 2022 08:01AM UTC
The outcome will be determined using data as reported by CNBC (CNBC). As of 28 September 2021, the yield was 1.539%.
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The question closed "Higher than 3% but lower than 4%" with a closing date of 30 December 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than 0% | 0% | |
| Between 0% and 1%, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than 1% but lower than 2% | 2% | |
| Between 2% and 3%, inclusive | 7% | |
| Higher than 3% but lower than 4% | 75% | |
| 4% or higher | 16% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 237 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 215 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1786 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 605 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
