Dubai Future Experts Candidates ask:

Before 1 January 2023, will a ride-hailing service open to the public which uses autonomous vehicles be launched and/or tested on public roads in Dubai?

Started Oct 01, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Jan 01, 2023 08:01AM UTC

Dubai aims to be a leading location in the deployment of autonomous vehicles and has an agreement with Cruise for the deployment of a ride-hailing service by 2023, though testing may start sooner (Khaleej Times, CNBC, Khaleej Times). Testing must include members of the public as passengers to count. A service that operates along a fixed route (e.g., shuttles) would not count. A service involving back-up drivers present in the vehicle would not count, but a service involving remote back-up operators would count. A qualifying service which requires rider prescreening or registration before use would count, and payment for service is not required.

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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 January 2023.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 18.06%
No 81.94%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 81
Average for questions older than 6 months: 216
Number of Forecasts 255
Average for questions older than 6 months: 607
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters worse than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score


Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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