The Economist asks:
Before 1 October 2022, will Facebook announce that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO?
Closed Oct 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Mark Zuckerberg, as Facebook's sole Chairman and CEO, has been under pressure as the company's business practices face ever greater scrutiny (CBS News, Endgadget, Quartz). An announced leave of absence or addition of either a co-chairman or co-CEO would count.
Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.
To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see here. For other posts from our Insights blog, click here.
NOTE 28 October 2021: We are aware of Facebook's name change to Meta. For the purposes of this question, consider this change in and of itself to be immaterial.
The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 October 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes | 2.21% | |
No | 97.79% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 326 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 229 | |
Number of Forecasts | 761 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 636 |
Accuracy | |
---|---|
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |