Before 1 July 2022, will the CPTPP Commission decide to commence the accession process for the People's Republic of China (PRC) and/or Taiwan?
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Taiwan, under the name of "The Separate Customs Territory of Taiwan, Penghu, Kinmen and Matsu," and the PRC each recently requested accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) (Bloomberg, Brookings Institute, Diplomat). The CPTPP Commission decided on 2 June 2021 to commence the accession process for the United Kingdom (Institute for Government, Australia Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Global Affairs Canada). Whether the Commission subsequently reverses its own decision is immaterial.
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The question closed "No" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.
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Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
---|---|---|
Yes, but only for the PRC | 0% | |
Yes, but only for Taiwan | 0% | |
Yes, for both | 0% | |
No | 100% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
Participation Level | |
---|---|
Number of Forecasters | 69 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208 | |
Number of Forecasts | 193 |
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589 |
Accuracy | |
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Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | worse than average |