belikewater asks:

Will Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene be reelected for Georgia's 14th Congressional District in 2022?

Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC

Rep. Greene was elected to her first term in 2020 and is expected to face a tough reelection campaign in 2022 (Ballotpedia, The Hill, Rome News-Tribune). Elections are scheduled for 8 November 2022 (Ballotpedia). If the outcome is dependent upon a runoff election, the suspend date will be extended to the date of the latest relevant runoff. If the outcome is dependent upon a recount, the question will remain suspended and closed as of 8 November 2022 when the outcome is known.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Yes" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Yes 94.55%
No 5.45%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 136
Average for questions older than 6 months: 207
Number of Forecasts 503
Average for questions older than 6 months: 587
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.104
2.
-0.104
3.
-0.104
5.
-0.103

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username