Started Oct 15, 2021 05:00PM UTC   •   Closing Nov 11, 2022 08:01AM UTC

Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:

Which party will win control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 midterm elections?

All 435 seats in the US House of Representatives are up for election in 2022, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the House in the 2018 midterm elections (270 to Win). Elections are scheduled for 8 November 2022 (Ballotpedia). If control is dependent upon a runoff election, the suspend date will be extended to the date of the latest relevant runoff. If control is dependent upon a recount, the question will remain suspended and closed as of 8 November 2022 when the outcome is known.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.

Possible Answer Crowd Forecast Change in last 24 hours Change in last week Change in last month
Democratic Party 39.43% -0.14% -0.07% +7.03%
Republican Party 60.57% +0.14% +0.07% -7.03%

Sign up or sign in to forecast!

Sign Up Sign In
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username