Chrisp, 024_andrew, belikewater, and David Epstein ask:
Which party will win control of the US Senate in the 2022 midterm elections?
Closed Nov 09, 2022 03:00AM UTC
As of 15 October 2021, 34 seats in the US Senate were up for election in 2022, with Democrats hoping to maintain control after retaking the Senate in the 2020 elections (270 to Win). Elections are scheduled for 8 November 2022 (Ballotpedia). If control is dependent upon a runoff election, the suspend date will be extended to the date of the latest relevant runoff. If control is dependent upon a recount, the question will remain suspended and closed as of 8 November 2022 when the outcome is known.
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The question closed "Democratic Party" with a closing date of 8 November 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 41% | |
| Republican Party | 59% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 544 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 206 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 2015 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 586 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
