The Economist and belikewater ask:
What will be the closing price for aluminum per metric ton (MT) on 29 April 2022?
Closed Apr 29, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Aluminum prices have risen dramatically in 2021, with pressures from both supply and demand sides (Yahoo, Capital.com). The outcome will be determined using data as provided by Bloomberg for the three-month futures contract on the London Metal Exchange (Bloomberg, London Metal Exchange).
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The question closed "Higher than $2,900 but lower than $3,200" with a closing date of 29 April 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Lower than $2,000 | 0% | |
| Between $2,000 and $2,300, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than $2,300 but lower than $2,600 | 0% | |
| Between $2,600 and $2,900, inclusive | 0% | |
| Higher than $2,900 but lower than $3,200 | 57% | |
| $3,200 or higher | 43% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 183 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 1017 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | better than average |
