What will be China's year-on-year GDP growth rate for the second quarter of 2022?
Closed Jul 01, 2022 07:01AM UTC
After bouncing back from the worst domestic economic effects of COVID-19, China is facing new disruptions to its economy (CNN, CNBC). The outcome will be determined using quarterly data from China's National Bureau of Statistics as reported by Trading Economics (Trading Economics). The question will be suspended on 30 June 2022 and the outcome determined when the relevant data for 2Q 2022 are first released, scheduled for July 2022.
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The question closed "Less than 4.0%" with a closing date of 1 July 2022.
See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.
| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Less than 4.0% | 97% | |
| Between 4.0% and 5.0%, inclusive | 3% | |
| More than 5.0% but less than 6.0% | 0% | |
| Between 6.0% and 7.0%, inclusive | 0% | |
| More than 7.0% | 0% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 53 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 219 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 343 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 613 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
