Which publicly traded US company will have the highest end-of-day market capitalization as of 30 June 2022?

Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags

The outcome will be determined using "Market Cap" data as reported by companiesmarketcap.com at approximately 5:00PM ET on 30 June 2022 (CompaniesMarketCap).

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Apple" with a closing date of 30 June 2022.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Alphabet (Google) 0%
Amazon 0%
Apple 100%
Microsoft 0%
Another company 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 89
Average for questions older than 6 months: 208
Number of Forecasts 341
Average for questions older than 6 months: 589
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters better than average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

2.
-0.176
3.
-0.146
4.
-0.144
5.
-0.139

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username