Started Nov 12, 2021 06:00PM UTC   •   Closed Jun 30, 2022 07:01AM UTC

What will be the closing value of the Hang Seng Index on 30 June 2022?

Hong Kong's economy is being closely watched as its relationship with China continues to evolve (Al Jazeera, Reuters). The outcome will be determined using data reported by Bloomberg (Bloomberg).

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The question closed "Between 20,000 and 23,000, inclusive" with a closing date of 30 June 2022.

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Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Less than 20,000 0%
Between 20,000 and 23,000, inclusive 100%
More than 23,000 but less than 26,000 0%
Between 26,000 and 29,000, inclusive 0%
More than 29,000 but less than 32,000 0%
32,000 or more 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 43
Average for questions older than 6 months: 254
Number of Forecasts 569
Average for questions older than 6 months: 683
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.072
2.
-0.069
3.
-0.064
4.
-0.06
5.
-0.049

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

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