Which team will win the 2021 Formula One World Constructors' Championship?

Started Nov 12, 2021 11:00PM UTC
Closed Dec 12, 2021 08:01AM UTC
Challenges
Tags
Sports  

Mercedes and Red Bull Racing-Honda have, as of the launch of this question, 478.5 and 477.5 points, respectively, in the 2021 Formula One World Constructors' Champions standings, with only a four races remaining (Formula1.com, Sky Sports). The question will be suspended on 11 December 2021, the day before the final race in the season, and the outcome determined once official awards are given at the FIA Prize Giving Ceremony.

Confused? Check our FAQ or ask us for help. To learn more about Good Judgment and Superforecasting, click here.

To learn more about how you can become a Superforecaster, see hereFor other posts from our Insights blog, click here.


The question closed "Mercedes" with a closing date of 12 December 2021.

See our FAQ to learn about how we resolve questions and how scores are calculated.

Possible Answer Correct? Final Crowd Forecast
Mercedes 98%
Red Bull Racing-Honda 2%
Another result 0%

Crowd Forecast Profile

Participation Level
Number of Forecasters 49
Average for questions older than 6 months: 206
Number of Forecasts 130
Average for questions older than 6 months: 586
Accuracy
Participants in this question vs. all forecasters average

Most Accurate

Relative Brier Score

1.
-0.07305
2.
-0.07222
3.
-0.06707
4.
-0.06345
5.
-0.062853

Recent Consensus, Probability Over Time

Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username