The Economist asks:
When will Lebanon next hold parliamentary elections?
Started
Nov 19, 2021 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 15, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Closed May 15, 2022 06:00PM UTC
Lebanese parliamentary elections are due in the spring of 2022, though political and economic circumstances have raised fears that they may be postponed (Economist, Al Jazeera, The National).
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The question closed "Between 1 April 2022 and 31 May 2022" with a closing date of 15 May 2022.
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| Possible Answer | Correct? | Final Crowd Forecast |
|---|---|---|
| Before 1 April 2022 | 0% | |
| Between 1 April 2022 and 31 May 2022 | 89% | |
| Not before 1 June 2022 | 11% |
Crowd Forecast Profile
| Participation Level | |
|---|---|
| Number of Forecasters | 153 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 207 | |
| Number of Forecasts | 445 |
| Average for questions older than 6 months: 587 | |
| Accuracy | |
|---|---|
| Participants in this question vs. all forecasters | average |
